opt for
surest book
Time
1 p.m. ET
through now you've likely heard in regards to the Colts' perpetual struggles in Jacksonville. just in the event you haven't, let me remind you:
It's not astonishing that the Colts have struggled in a matchup like this. The familiarity of divisional matchups tends to be an equalizer. And as a dome group, the Colts are not used to playing in the scorching and humid Jacksonville climate.
however there's plenty more than only a streak that favors Jacksonville during this game. The Colts' greatest player on defense (LB Shaquille Leonard) has been dominated out for the 2d straight week. Their most advantageous flow catcher (WR Michael Pittman) became downgraded from a restrained follow participant on Wednesday to a DNP on Thursday and Friday with a quad challenge. an extra one among their beginning WRs (Alec Pierce) become dominated out with a concussion.
The Jaguars, meanwhile, didn't even record a player on the remaining injury document.
Couple a newly obtained, ageing quarterback with no longer tons within the way of circulate catchers outside of Pittman on offense and a defense chief lacking (Leonard), and also you get an underwhelming, mediocre group that may't put away a team like the Texans on the road.
The Jags present a a great deal greater problematic matchup for the Colts. Their new-seem to be offense beneath Doug Pederson and Press Taylor averaged 6.1 yards per play towards Washington in Week 1. And Jacksonville's protective strength is stopping the run (three.0 yards per elevate allowed on 28 consists of), which completely aligns with what the Colts are looking to do offensively.
in line with our action Labs records, Week 2 underdogs by 6 aspects or fewer coming off an outright loss in Week 1 are sixty two-34-2 (sixty five%) when you consider that 2005, beating the spread via a regular of 1.9 features per game.
domestic 'canine during this spot had been even better, going 26-12 (sixty eight%) ATS and beating the closing quantity by a standard of two.6 points.
FanDuel Quickslip: Jaguars +3
prefer
gold standard publication
Time
1 p.m. ET
here's a great spot to sell high on the Giants.
while Daniel Jones is 13-6 (68%) ATS on the highway, he's simply 7-12 (37%) ATS at domestic. here's still an offense that turned into held scoreless for the primary 34 minutes of the game in Week 1, one which featured Richie James Jr. as its suitable target and David Sills as a WR who ran a route 57% of the time. And one whose most explosive pass catchers — Wan'Dale Robinson (out-knee) and Kadarius Toney (questionable-hamstring) — are each hurt.
The Panthers could be in a position to use Christian McCaffrey to exploit a Giants linebacking corps it really is fully horrendous in pass insurance. The Giants' starting linebackers are Tae Crowder and Austin Calitro. Crowder has earned a backside-15 percentile insurance grade from PFF every year of his career. Calitro is an undrafted free agent from 2017 who made his first birth in well-nigh three years last week, grading out as the worst linebacker in the league in coverage.
combined, these LBs allowed seven completions on eight objectives for 102 yards and two TDs, with each ratings going to RB Dontrell Hilliard. respectable success with CMC.
The Giants will also be devoid of lost No. 2 cornerback Aaron Robinson. Adoree Jackson is brilliant, however he can't cowl D.J. Moore and Robbie Anderson at the equal time.
As I've stated repeatedly, the important thing to beating Baker Mayfield is getting pressure. The Browns were in a position to try this, pressuring him on forty two.4% of his dropbacks final week, fifth-optimum of Week 1. The Giants, meanwhile, registered a power on simplest 25.four% of Ryan Tannehill's dropbacks, fifth-lowest — and that became with them blitzing on forty five.7% of his dropbacks.
Per motion Labs, Week 2 'canines coming off a close loss close by 4 or fewer elements are 26-14 (65%) ATS in Week 2 when you consider that 2005. And throughout that same span, 'canine through 6 points or fewer coming off an ATS loss in Week 1 have long gone 56-32-2 (64%) in Week 2.
FanDuel Quickslip: Panthers +1.5
pick
beneath 44 (bet to forty three) | 1H under 21.5 (guess to 21)
most appropriate e-book
Time
1 p.m. ET
If it wasn't obtrusive in Dallas ultimate Sunday night, this is now not the identical Bucs offense.
The Bucs scored handiest 19 facets in Week 1 whereas working 33 instances and passing most effective 29 instances. however the Saints had a tough go at stopping the run towards the Falcons unconventional rushing assault that includes Cordarrelle Patterson and Marcus Mariota, they are perennially among the NFL's choicest run defenses and present a greater tricky matchup on the floor than the Cowboys.
however the Bucs could combat even more in the event that they attempt to air it out. In five conferences in opposition t the Saints as a member of the Bucs, Tom Brady did not throw for 240 yards in 4 of them. The one time he did (final season in New Orleans), he committed three turnovers, together with a game-sealing prefer-six.
The Saints have a formula for achievement towards Brady because they could get indoors power, and Marcus Lattimore at all times holds Mike Evans under his average averages.
additionally, the Bucs' offensive line is an argument this season. Their three new starters on the interior line combined to allow five pressures and four hurries final week in opposition t Dallas. Left handle Donovan Smith (elbow) is doubtful, and his replacement, Josh Wells, allowed two pressures and a sack in precisely 19 snaps closing week, based on pro soccer focal point. The final time these two groups met, the Saints shut out the Bucs, 9-0.
On the other facet of the ball, the Bucs have three fine cornerbacks in Carlton Davis, Jamel Dean and Sean Murphy-Bunting that can go toe-to-toe with Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry, and Chris Olave. And with Vita Vea anchoring their indoors line, the Bucs are also perennially one of the vital NFL's most advantageous run defenses, which doesn't bode smartly for a Saints running online game it is coping with injuries to each Alvin Kamara (questionable-ribs) and Mark Ingram (questionable-ankle).
I'm splitting my unit on this between the entire video game and first half simply in case we see one of those teams fall approach in the back of. Brady in comeback mode is still Brady, and Jameis Winston in comeback mode is susceptible to quit six aspects to the protection at any time.
in response to our motion Labs statistics, Week 2 Divisional unders are forty-22-2 (65%) given that 2005 when the overall opens at forty three or higher.
FanDuel Quickslip: beneath 43.5
select
Garrett Wilson Over 2.5 Receptions (-148)
greatest booklet
Time
1 p.m. ET
Wilson finished with four catches on eight ambitions in his debut regardless of sitting out a whole lot of the first quarter. Wilson may still be greater involved this week. in accordance with Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic, "[Jets head coach Robert] Saleh referred to Wilson didn't play as lots in the beginning since the Jets had been focused on the use of their 12 personnel (one working back, two tight ends) and 13 personnel (one RB, three TE) applications against the Ravens."
This week, No. 2 tight end C.J. Uzomah is dubious, leaving a transformed huge receiver (Lawrence Cager), a practice-squad call-up (Kenny Yeboah), and a rookie who was a healthy scratch in Week 1 (Jeremy Ruckert) at tight end in the back of starter Tyler Conklin.
apart from more packages that includes extensive receivers this week, Wilson should additionally get a lift in taking part in time as a result of No. four receiver Braxton Berrios, who ran simplest six fewer routes than Wilson (35) final week, is listed as questionable with a heel harm. Wilson was moved round between the slot and out of doors in Week 1, so he may still be capable of steer clear of Cleveland's premiere cornerback, Denzel Ward, enough to put up as a minimum three catches for the 2d straight week.
choose
Lions +1.5
top-rated book
Time
1 p.m. ET
I'm selling excessive on Washington right here. each of those groups have bad defenses, but the difference is the Lions have a quarterback in Jared Goff who is less prone to flip the ball over. here's additionally an excellent situational spot for the Lions, as they are of their 2nd straight domestic online game nonetheless hungry for win No. 1 while Washington may have a letdown in its first street video game after profitable at home ultimate week.
in accordance with our motion Labs information, Week 2 domestic teams going up towards guests that covered at home in Week 1 are 60-50-2 (55%) ATS because 2005, including eight-four (67%) when favored by using under a box purpose.
FanDuel Quickslip: Lions +1.5
Post a Comment