satisfied Thanksgiving, everyone.
before we get into my props, there were two Thanksgiving specials that stood out to me on DraftKings that I need to cowl.
Josh Allen is +240 to list probably the most passing yards on Thanksgiving, and Gabe Davis is +1300 to lead the slate in receiving yards.
I assignment Davis nearer to +900 to exact the receiving charts on Turkey Day. He has a much broader range of results than most gamers, so that you may argue that should be lessen.
Davis doesn't need the extent of alternative receivers to win this wager given his large-play means. There's a state of affairs where he leads the slate with anything like a hundred twenty five receiving yards entering the closing game of the nighttime. If that's the case, which you could hedge your guess by means of betting Justin Jefferson's receiving yards over. If Jefferson goes beneath his 88.5 total, it's not likely any one else goes over 125. If he goes between 89 and 124 receiving yards, you'd win both bets.
The wager on Allen goes hand in hand with Davis. I'd say a fair price on Allen is closer to +200.
With that out of the way, listed below are my favourite props for all three Thanksgiving video games.
Singletary is coming off a season-excessive 18 dashing attempts last week in opposition t the Browns. It became just the third time he's cleared this total in 10 video games.
against Cleveland, Singletary benefitted from Josh Allen registering season lows in passing (197) and dashing (seven) yards. I consider we'll see him start lower back with a huge ample online game through the air and on the floor that he eats into Singletary's workload.
also, we noticed second-circular rookie James cook register his top of the line online game of the season, with 11 incorporates for 86 rushing yards. Singletary dominates passing-down and 2-minute work, however the bills could proceed to use prepare dinner on early downs to preserve the veteran fresh.
what's QuickSlip?QuickSlip is an action network function that allows for users to immediately pre-load their wager slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
an additional thing working towards Singletary in this market is he doesn't get many attempts on third or fourth and short. The bills have a foolproof quarterback sneak the place they line up Gabe Davis behind Allen, using the QB ahead.
There are also some sneaky guardrails on this prop. If the Lions are in a position to keep it close, that'll drive the expenses into a pass-heavy game script.
If the bills get a huge lead, they tend to bubblewrap Singletary and let cook dinner dominate the work. Buffalo also could are looking to ultimately get Nyheim Hines some reps on offense. Any rushing attempts he receives will best assist this prop.
I'm projecting Singletary for closer to 12.5 speeding attempts and would guess this all the way down to -140.
i will't feel of a far better method to spend Thanksgiving than sweating a Lawrence Cager prop all over time for dinner (on the East Coast).
I suppose this prop offers sneaky value since the Giants is frequently pressured right into a circulate-heavy online game script as 10-element underdogs.
Daniel Jones simply lost his top target, Wan'Dale Robinson, for the relaxation of the season. That makes Darius Slayton the brand new go-to receiver, even though it's unknown who will emerge because the No. 2 alternative.
Cager will continue to be the Giants' lead flow-catching tight end until rookie Daniel Bellinger returns. Cager has run a route on 70% of Jones' dropbacks last week, and that i expect to see similar usage with Robinson out.
The Cowboys have generated probably the most pressure in the NFL this season. Jones has targeted his tight conclusion 14% of the time in a clear pocket, however that goes as much as 19% when he's facing pressure.
Cager is a former large receiver who converted to tight end. He's 6-foot-5 and 220 kilos. He's now not in there to block. additionally, for what it's worth, he had the 2nd-most receiving yards amongst tight ends within the preseason.
I'm projecting Cager for nearer to 19.5 receiving yards right here and just like the upside on his over.
Cousins has struggled when facing drive this season. His yards per attempt drops from 7.1 with a clear pocket to 5.4 when beneath pressure. With that, it turned into no shock Cousins in reality struggled against the Cowboys in view that Dallas leads the league in pressure cost.
Cousins faces an extra tough test against a Patriots defense that ranks 2d in power cost. To make concerns worse, stud left tackle Christian Darrisaw has already been ruled out.
subsequently, I'm expecting Minnesota to have a more conservative, run-heavy video game plan in opposition t New England.
The Patriots offense could additionally fight to put up points, which helps lower the probabilities of Cousins stepping into a game script that sees the Vikings go move heavy and playing from at the back of.
I'm projecting this nearer to 238.5 passing yards.
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