The Needle: Senate and house Forecast 2022 - The long island instances

Be cautious of 'mirages' on election night

because of the order during which different types of ballots are counted, early returns may also be deceptive. In 2020, Virginia's early vote for president liked Republicans, whereas Pennsylvania's skewed towards Democrats. These "mirages" reveal that vote margins early within the nighttime can alternate greatly. — Lazaro Gamio 5h in the past