Week 9 NFL vigour Rankings: 6-1 Minnesota Vikings dangle consistent in desirable 5 - The Ringer

Parity nevertheless runs rampant as we strategy the halfway mark of the 2022 NFL season. The three NFC teams with the maximum preseason odds to win the super Bowl – Tampa Bay Buccaneers, la Rams and green Bay Packers – all have losing statistics and now not rank inner the top half of the league in these rankings. The Dallas Cowboys have gone from +250 to make the playoffs after Week 1 to now -1900, in line with FanDuel. The Carolina Panthers are two missed kicks in Week 8 far from main the NFC South; as an alternative, they have got the third-worst record in the league. Let's continue to journey the curler coaster collectively as I sift through all the insanity within the Ringer's newest power rankings.

The best of the surest 1. Buffalo bills (6-1, final week's ranking: 1)

Josh Allen had some errant throws and two 2d-half interceptions towards the Packers on Sunday night soccer, but it surely didn't depend. The Packers trailed 24-7 after the primary two quarters and never introduced the game inside one ranking after that. FanDuel's self assurance in Allen and the bills has not wavered. The bills are a close even funds favorite to win the AFC at +125, and Allen has the equal odds to win MVP.

2. Philadelphia Eagles (7-0, closing week: 2)

A.J. Brown recorded a hat trick with his three landing celebrations within the first half, and the Eagles had been able to relaxation their starters with 9:24 closing within the fourth quarter. Jalen Hurts is taking part in like a proper-5 quarterback, Brown and the rest of this assisting cast is among the many choicest in the NFL, and the defense is second in yards per play allowed (4.sixty six). FanDuel has Philadelphia at -270 to be the exact-seeded group in the NFC and +195 to represent the NFC within the tremendous Bowl; it's their convention to lose.

three. Kansas city Chiefs (5-2, final week: three)

agree with it or no longer, Patrick Mahomes has expanded the Chiefs offense devoid of Tyreek Hill. In a league the place complete completions on throws of 20-plus air yards become down from 349 to 244 during the first seven weeks of the season as in comparison with 2021, Mahomes has mastered the NFL's midrange shot. targeting 10 to twenty yards downfield, Mahomes ranked first in yards per attempt (12.6) and complete passing yards (707) before the team's bye in Week eight. In his first seven video games closing season, he ranked twenty ninth (8.1) and 22nd (443) within the equal statistics, respectively.

throughout the board, the NFL is running greater two-excessive appears to restrict explosive pass plays down the box, as evidenced by using that steep drop-off in completions deep down the box, and Mahomes essential to adjust to a much less explosive passing attack in a post-Hill world. He's finished exactly that, and the Chiefs lead the league in very nearly every offensive effectivity metric on account of it.

Deep Postseason Contenders 4. Baltimore Ravens (5-3, last week: 4)

The Ravens' dropback passing video game is still a concern, however Lamar Jackson and the dashing attack are maintaining the offense from cratering. Baltimore ranks first in EPA per rush (0.12) and 2nd in yards before first contact per effort (2.29). That ├╝ber-effective rushing attack has helped the Ravens to double-digit leads in every video game they've played this season and the league's third-highest point differential (73) within the first three quarters of games. The fee to extend Jackson receives bigger every week.

5. Minnesota Vikings (6-1, last week: 5)

Za'Darius Smith told the media that he hates "that individuals still don't seem to be talking about us" after the Vikings' Week eight win over the Cardinals. The hesitancy, possibly, revolves round Kirk Cousins. It's hard to neglect his disastrous primetime efficiency towards the Eagles in Week 2, and he's been removed from the league's premiere quarterback in obtrusive passing cases. Cousins's EPA per dropback standard on 2nd, third and fourth downs with seven or greater yards to move is the bottom within the NFL at -0.43.

6. Dallas Cowboys (6-2, final week: 8)

The Cowboys are within the operating for 2nd-most excellent team in the NFC because Dak Prescott is capable of having performances like he did towards the Bears on Sunday. Even with an ugly interception within the closing minute of the first half, Prescott ranked 2nd in Week eight in EPA per dropback (0.fifty two). in exactly three begins, he is averaging 0.32 EPA per dropback on obtrusive passing downs (second, third, and fourth downs of seven yards or more). Cooper Rush averaged minus-0.29 EPA per attempt in the same instances. Prescott elevates the Cowboys' ceiling to a level Rush couldn't attain.

7. Miami Dolphins (5-3, closing week: 7)

Tua Tagovailoa turned into bailed out by using dropped would-be interceptions towards the Steelers in Week 7 but bounced lower back in a big manner on Sunday. He achieved more than eighty % of his passes in a 382-yard, three-touchdown efficiency against a nasty Lions defense in Week 8. Due in massive half to the successes of a historic receiving duo in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, Tagovailoa now leads the league in EPA per attempt (1.04) and completion percentage (61.0) on throws of 15 or greater air yards. Now, EPA doesn't penalize Tagovailoa for these throws that should still have been picked, but Tagovailoa's efficiency at the helm of Mike McDaniel's high-powered offense continues to be among the many league's most desirable.

improper Postseason Contenders 8. San Francisco 49ers (4-4, closing week: eleven)

Christian McCaffrey hit for the cycle with a passing, receiving and rushing landing within the 49ers' 31-14 win over the Rams on Sunday. Already a major focal aspect of the offense, McCaffrey performed on greater than eighty percent of the team's offensive snaps and led the group in goal share (35 %) in precisely his 2d online game in a 49ers uniform. He's exactly what Kyle Shanahan and the Jimmy Garoppolo-led 49ers offense needs: another positionless player with elite yards-after-capture means. McCaffrey, George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Kyle Juszczyk all raise the ceiling for an offense eager to limit Garoppolo throwing downfield and into damage's method. No offense in the NFL averages extra yards after the catch per reception (6.ninety one), and Garoppolo ranks first in EPA per effort on throws made inside 10 yards of the line of scrimmage. He ranks 18th in the same statistic on throws of 10 or more air yards.

9. Seattle Seahawks (5-3, last week: 15)

adequate, the pattern dimension is large sufficient. Geno Smith is enjoying like a precise-10 quarterback, and his offense is likely one of the foremost within the NFL. The Seahawks rank seventh in offensive EPA per pressure and 2nd in complete features scored. FanDuel has moved Seattle's odds to make the playoffs from +540 earlier than the season to +126 coming into Week 9, but the circulation shouldn't cease there. The Seahawks' ultimate opponents have a mixed win percentage of .441, which is the 27th-lowest in the league.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (four-four, remaining week: 6)

life without Ja'Marr Chase is off to a horrendous beginning in Cincinnati. The Bengals averaged simply three.eight yards per play and scored zero elements via three quarters in their 32-13 loss to the Browns on Monday night football. Joe Burrow took four sacks and averaged minus-0.45 EPA per dropback in those same three quarters. No late surge from the offense become going to beat the punch within the mouth they took early in opposition t Cleveland, and the Bengals can't afford to have many extra performances like this with or without Chase.

eleven. l. a. Chargers (four-three, closing week: 10)

Justin Herbert is nineteen-20 as a starter, but that checklist is a much bigger indictment of the offensive scheme and aiding forged than it's of him. Plagued with injuries and bereft of container-stretching speed, Joe Lombardi's offense is brazenly concentrated on the beneath areas of the field at a sky-high fee.

No quarterback has a lower average depth of goal on early downs than Herbert, and due to this fact the Chargers' success fee on first and 2nd downs ranks 25th. Lombardi and Herbert deserve to come out of the bye week with fewer personnel excuses and extra fine alterations to the offense to get again on course.

12. ny Giants (6-2, last week: 9)

The Giants have entered the fourth quarter with a lead only once this season. counting on fourth-quarter magic to comfy wins ultimately caught up to them towards the Seahawks on Sunday, when they have been outscored 14-3 within the closing 15 minutes and misplaced just their second game this 12 months. They rank 23rd in factor differential in the first three quarters of video games (minus-19); the Jets are the handiest group ranked lessen with a winning checklist. Fumbled punt returns and different random miscues will cost the Giants wins for provided that they combat to profit and hold leads early in video games.

13. Tennessee Titans (5-2, last week: 17)

Rookie Malik Willis threw a decide on and completed six passes for 55 yards in his first career delivery on Sunday, however the Titans nonetheless managed to tug out the win. He has Derrick Henry to thank for that. Willis told newshounds that Henry mentioned "they could't stop me" at one factor all over the game, and he wasn't incorrect. Henry rushed for 219 yards and two touchdowns on 32 contains against the Texans, tying O.J. Simpson and Adrian Peterson for the most 200-yard video games in NFL heritage with six. It's critical that starter Ryan Tannehill receives fit so the Titans don't should be one-dimensional offensively, nevertheless it's also reassuring for Tennessee lovers to know that Henry can lead the charge when he has to.

On the Bubble 14. Denver Broncos (three-5, remaining week: 20)

The Broncos gave Russell Wilson a $245 million contract to make throws like his forty seven-yard rainbow ball down the right sideline to KJ Hamler after they have been trailing the Jags within the fourth quarter on Sunday. That classification of play become infrequent in the first few weeks of the season. That Hamler went from end-of-video game meltdown to conclusion-of-online game party on Wilson's returned is a spark of positivity the Broncos had been desperate for on the grounds that their last win in Week 3. Sunday wasn't Wilson's optimum video game this season nor the protection's, however's satisfactory to retain the Broncos within sight of a playoff berth. expectantly the group will get less exercise and greater sleep on the flight home from London.

15. New England Patriots (four-four, ultimate week: 21)

The Patriots secured a a whole lot-needed win over the Jets on Sunday, however the offense remains hamstrung via poor quarterback play from Mac Jones. handiest two starting quarterbacks have a negative EPA per effort typical on throws at or past the primary down marker in 2022: Jones and rookie Kenny Pickett. Jones additionally ranks 28th in EPA per dropback (-0.28) on 2nd, third, and fourth downs with seven or more yards to move earlier than the first. The winning components for brand spanking new England presently is to drive turnovers on defense and locate success operating the football with Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris. That should be would becould very well be adequate to clinch a postseason berth however depart them as heavy underdogs towards AFC powerhouses just like the expenses and Chiefs.

16. ny Jets (5-3, ultimate week: 13)

It's not a secret that Zach Wilson hasn't performed well this season. simplest Kenny Pickett, Davis Mills, and Baker Mayfield have a lower EPA per dropback than Wilson through eight weeks. however even though we take Wilson's stance and throw the stats out the window, performs like his third-quarter sideline throwaway grew to become interception and the fourth-quarter decide upon thrown into quadruple coverage comfortably can't turn up if the Jets are going to turn their 5-3 start into a postseason run. FanDuel's Jets playoff odds shifted from +a hundred and forty four to +240 following the group's home loss against the Patriots in Week 8.

17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (three-5, last week: 14)

The Buccaneers have the worst speeding attack within the NFL, and that they know it. handiest the Colts have a decrease EPA-per-rush regular, and no crew runs the ball under the Bucs, who name rushes on simply 31.6 % of their offensive plays. And when the Bucs do are trying to run the ball, it isn't going smartly: The Bucs' RBs are ultimate in yards after contact. Opposing defenses are taking part in a excessive percentage of two-high security pre-snap looks and light-weight bins subsequently, placing a low ceiling on Tom Brady and the Bucs' passing assault. Brady, unsurprisingly, is making all the headlines as he falls two video games under .500 for the first time in his hall of reputation profession, however not all the Bucs' largest complications involve him.

18. eco-friendly Bay Packers (three-5, closing week: sixteen)

No, rich Eisen, there isn't an awful lot to dangle your cheesehead on at this time. Trailing 24-7 towards the bills firstly of the third quarter, the Packers discovered success on the ground simplest because Buffalo—which opted for numerous two-high protection protective appears—allow them to. Rookie receivers Samori Toure and Romeo Doubs both had stellar downfield landing receptions, however the Packers' down-to-down passing attack nonetheless feels like pulling tooth. green Bay additionally has the seventh-hardest last time table in terms of combined profitable percent for opponents. there have been no ethical victories for the Packers on Sunday nighttime, and there may be no postseason for them, both, in the event that they don't listing some precise victories soon.

19. los angeles Rams (three-4, final week: 12)

Sean McVay fell to three-9 in opposition t Kyle Shanahan after losing to the 49ers, 31-14, in Week eight. McVay also had an additional week to prepare for the video game with the bye and his team changed into enjoying at home. YIKES.

Making concerns worse for McVay is that his offense is largely the subject. la ranks 30th in total completions of 15-plus air yards (14), and quarterback Matthew Stafford ranks 31st in EPA per dropback on second, third, and fourth downs with seven or greater yards to head for the primary. There's excuses for that, of direction. The offensive line is injury-plagued and struggling in move insurance policy, and the receiving corps lacks accurate-conclusion speed. but McVay, one of the crucial league's greatest offensive minds, doesn't get excuses in a league where offenses with vastly less talent (e.g. Browns, Falcons, Giants) all rank internal the properly-12 in offensive EPA per force. McVay has to improve the offensive effectivity even with the crew's barriers.

20. Atlanta Falcons (four-four, final week: 22)

To the chagrin of dissatisfied Kyle Pitts managers in fable soccer, the NFC South's first-location Falcons rank sixth in offensive EPA per pressure (0.34) on account of their commitment to a artistic dashing assault and shot performs off of play motion. Atlanta runs the ball on the second-highest cost within the NFL and calls play-motion on a league-main 47.9 percent of their dropbacks. Their defense, notably with no.J. Terrell for many of the ultimate two weeks, is still one of the vital worst within the league, however the Falcons are a tricky out every week on account of the success Arthur Smith is dialing up offensively.

21. Cleveland Browns (three-5, closing week: 28)

Jacoby Brissett deserves greater appreciate for the job he's accomplished as a stand-in starter for the Browns. He merits from having Nick Chubb and a precise-three dashing assault, but he additionally ranks inside the appropriate half of the league in EPA per dropback and yards per effort—a powerful eight-week stretch for a participant who ranked thirty first within the Ringer's preseason QB rankings. The indisputable fact that he isn't the reason Cleveland is dropping video games and is really in a position to leading his crew to a 32-13 win over the Bengals on Monday nighttime football justifies overdue compliment at this point within the season.

22. Arizona Cardinals (3-5, ultimate week: 18)

The name of responsibility jokes are splendid, but Kyler Murray doesn't play protection. The Cardinals rank 32nd in defensive success cost (50.9) and 31st in facets allowed (210). The secondary is giving up too many explosive performs downfield, and the front seven is likely one of the league's most porous units towards the run. Now +570 to make the playoffs in response to FanDuel, Murray's defense may still leave him with a video game controller in hand in early January.

23. Washington Commanders (4-four, closing week: 26)

Taylor Heinicke playing as well as he did in opposition t the Colts is exactly why the Commanders may still have never traded for Carson Wentz this offseason. both quarterbacks aren't lengthy-term solutions at the position, however Heinicke didn't cost the Commanders multiple draft picks and $28 million in 2022. There's no obtrusive means ahead with the Commanders' quarterback condition beyond this season, however one factor is for bound: Terry McLaurin is one of the group's few premier potential. He has take hold of fourth-quarter catches in returned-to-back wins now with Heinicke on the helm, together with a surreal contested snag over Stephon Gilmore to set up the go-ahead score in Week eight.

long-Shot Playoff Hopefuls 24. New Orleans Saints (three-5, last week: 27)

Dennis Allen took his defense to a stage we haven't seen this season in a revenge game in opposition t the Raiders, the group that fired him as head educate in 2014. coming into Week eight, the Saints ranked 31st in yards allowed and closing in features allowed. towards a Raiders offense that ranked 2d in offensive EPA per drive going into the online game, Allen orchestrated a shutout. Making dominant protective displays like this the norm is paramount for Allen and the Saints to benefit manage of an sick NFC South.

25. Las Vegas Raiders (2-5, remaining week: 19)

Week eight couldn't have long past worse for the Raiders. They didn't run an offensive play in Saints territory until after the two-minute warning within the fourth quarter—after Derek Carr had been benched for Jarrett Stidham while trailing 24-0. Playoff groups don't have games like that.

26. Chicago Bears (3-5, remaining week: 23)

The Bears have just one win in the ultimate 5 weeks, however Justin Fields and the offense have still shown enormous development all the way through that stretch of games. The Chicago dashing assault has thrived with more designed quarterback runs for Fields, and he's better his EPA per dropback from 28th in Weeks 1-4 to thirteenth in Weeks 5-eight. They haven't more desirable satisfactory to warrant postseason consideration, however Fields is making his case for the Bears to spend their league-main $116 million in cap house in 2023 on aid for him in the offense.

27. Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1, final week: 24)

The Colts made a transformation at quarterback however every thing about the offense nonetheless felt similar. Indy ran the ball at the maximum fee they've all season in Sam Ehlinger's first game as the starter, but didn't discover the conclusion zone unless the fourth quarter. Time will inform if Ehlinger picks up extra begins in area of veteran Matt Ryan, but it's not going things increase sufficient for the Colts to make the postseason. The preseason favorites to win the AFC South at the moment are +320 to make the playoffs in any respect.

28. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6, final week: 25)

The Jaguars have misplaced 5 straight games, and there's no approach to sugarcoat it: Trevor Lawrence is a huge reason. on the grounds that Week 4, no starting quarterback ranks decrease in EPA + CPOE (completion percentage over expectation) composite than Lawrence, per RBSDM.com. The costs at which he turns the ball over, takes sacks, and throws inaccurate passes are all among the maximum within the league. Such inefficiency has made it near impossible for the Jags to claw out wins in a single-ranking video games. Jacksonville hasn't lost by using more than eight points in any of the losses they've suffered on account that Week 4, but they're now not coping with horseshoes and hand grenades. basically successful in every of the last 5 weeks nevertheless has the Jags at 2-6 at the halfway mark of the season, and FanDuel now has their postseason odds at +500. Lawrence should go on a hell of a run to place the Jaguars again within the postseason hunt, and that st arts with averting gruesome video game-ending interceptions.

29. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6, remaining week: 29)

The Steelers offense is tough to observe. Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett is a nightmare anytime he pushes the ball more than 10 yards downfield, and lead returned Najee Harris ranks twenty sixth in yards after contact per rush (2.66). The outcomes? Pittsburgh ranks thirty second in offensive EPA per power (minus-0.69) and 30th in complete aspects (a hundred and twenty). Mike Tomlin will need an offensive miracle to appropriate this ship.

backside of the Barrel 30. Carolina Panthers (2-6, final week: 31)

The Panthers may still have won in Week 8. PJ Walker threw one of the premier passes of the yr to D.J. Moore in the conclusion zone to tie the Falcons 34-34 with 12 seconds to play in rules. Moore celebrated the landing by means of taking his helmet off, drawing a 15-yard penalty and leading to a missed forty eight-yard PAT attempt. Kicker Eddy Pineiro ignored an additional kick in extra time. however that each one might were the most effective-case situation for Carolina. The Panthers had been taking part in impressed soccer for the reason that the firing of Matt Rhule but are nonetheless slotted to choose third in the 2023 NFL draft after a 2-6 beginning to the season. For a rebuilding team without an extended-term reply at quarterback, competitive losses are wins.

31. Detroit Lions (1-6, last week: 30)

After scoring six total elements of their last two games, the Lions scored 27 first-half aspects and built a ten-element lead over the Dolphins on Sunday. Then they collapsed. Detroit didn't convert a third down, enter the purple zone, or ranking a further element in the 2nd half. The offense was tormented by penalties and drops that pressured Jared Goff into evident passing situations on 2d and third downs, some thing that continues to be the Achilles heel for Detroit. Goff ranks 25th in EPA per dropback on second, third, and fourth downs where the space to the primary is greater than 6 yards. The Lions are very readily in the CJ Stroud–Bryce young sweepstakes.

32. Houston Texans (1-5-1, ultimate week: 32)

Texans lovers had been scouting faculty quarterbacks even before the season, and nothing has took place considering to alternate that. Davis Mills is second to closing in EPA per dropback and leads a Houston offense that ranks 31st in complete yards per video game even with rookie working again Dameon Pierce exceeding expectations. Defensively, the Texans rank thirtieth in yards allowed per play; handiest the Falcons and Lions rank lessen. dropping ample video games to secure the no. 1 decide upon in the 2023 NFL draft should still be the group's precedence.

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